Utrecht II vs Eindhoven Prediction & Preview
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Sep 07, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EERSTE DIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
Utrecht II vs Eindhoven
Model pick: Eindhoven (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.48
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Utrecht II | Eindhoven |
|---|
| League position | #20 (0 pts) | #5 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 3.0 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
*Utrecht II shown at home, Eindhoven shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Utrecht II — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Eindhoven — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Utrecht II (home) | Eindhoven (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Rafik El Arguioui (11) | – |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 1.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Utrecht II or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Eindhoven or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Utrecht II clean sheet | 23% |
| Eindhoven clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Eindhoven is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Eindhoven edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Utrecht II vs Eindhoven — FAQ
Who will win Utrecht II vs Eindhoven?
Our statistical model makes Eindhoven the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Utrecht II 35%, draw 26%, Eindhoven 39%.
Will both teams score in Utrecht II vs Eindhoven?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Utrecht II vs Eindhoven?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Utrecht II and 1.48 for Eindhoven — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Utrecht II vs Eindhoven?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Utrecht II or draw is 60%.