Uxbridge vs Taunton Town Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Uxbridge vs Taunton Town
Model pick: Uxbridge (95%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.27 – 0.21
Total goals: 4.5
Over 2.5: 71%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Uxbridge | Taunton Town |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.67 / 0.33 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
*Uxbridge shown at home, Taunton Town shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Uxbridge — last 5
WWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Taunton Town — last 5
DLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Uxbridge (home) | Taunton Town (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 47% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.27 vs 0.21):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Uxbridge or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Taunton Town or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Uxbridge clean sheet | 81% |
| Taunton Town clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Uxbridge is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. Uxbridge are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.5, this shapes as an open game (71% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Uxbridge vs Taunton Town — FAQ
Who will win Uxbridge vs Taunton Town?
Our statistical model makes Uxbridge the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Uxbridge 95%, draw 4%, Taunton Town 1%.
Will both teams score in Uxbridge vs Taunton Town?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Uxbridge vs Taunton Town?
Expected goals are 4.27 for Uxbridge and 0.21 for Taunton Town — about 4.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Uxbridge vs Taunton Town?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (16%). Double chance for Uxbridge or draw is 100%.