Víkingur Reykjavík vs ÍBV Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
Víkingur Reykjavík vs ÍBV
Model pick: Víkingur Reykjavík (69%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.45 – 0.82
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Víkingur Reykjavík | ÍBV |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 2.0 |
*Víkingur Reykjavík shown at home, ÍBV shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Víkingur Reykjavík — last 5
LWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
ÍBV — last 5
WLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 68% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Víkingur Reykjavík (home) | ÍBV (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 68% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.45 vs 0.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Víkingur Reykjavík or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — ÍBV or draw (X2) | 27% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Víkingur Reykjavík clean sheet | 44% |
| ÍBV clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Víkingur Reykjavík is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Víkingur Reykjavík are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Víkingur Reykjavík vs ÍBV — FAQ
Who will win Víkingur Reykjavík vs ÍBV?
Our statistical model makes Víkingur Reykjavík the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Víkingur Reykjavík 69%, draw 18%, ÍBV 13%.
Will both teams score in Víkingur Reykjavík vs ÍBV?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Víkingur Reykjavík vs ÍBV?
Expected goals are 2.45 for Víkingur Reykjavík and 0.82 for ÍBV — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Víkingur Reykjavík vs ÍBV?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Víkingur Reykjavík or draw is 89%.