Víkingur Reykjavík vs Valur Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 19:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
Víkingur Reykjavík vs Valur
Model pick: Víkingur Reykjavík (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.53 – 1.5
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Víkingur Reykjavík | Valur |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 3.0 |
*Víkingur Reykjavík shown at home, Valur shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Víkingur Reykjavík — last 5
DLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 69% of home games go over 2.5.
Valur — last 5
LLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 69% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Víkingur Reykjavík (home) | Valur (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 69% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.53 vs 1.5):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Víkingur Reykjavík or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Valur or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Víkingur Reykjavík clean sheet | 22% |
| Valur clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Víkingur Reykjavík is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Víkingur Reykjavík are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Víkingur Reykjavík vs Valur — FAQ
Who will win Víkingur Reykjavík vs Valur?
Our statistical model makes Víkingur Reykjavík the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Víkingur Reykjavík 56%, draw 20%, Valur 24%.
Will both teams score in Víkingur Reykjavík vs Valur?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Víkingur Reykjavík vs Valur?
Expected goals are 2.53 for Víkingur Reykjavík and 1.5 for Valur — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Víkingur Reykjavík vs Valur?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Víkingur Reykjavík or draw is 78%.