Valur vs ÍA Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 19:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
Valur vs ÍA
Model pick: Valur (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.72 – 1.39
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 70%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Valur | ÍA |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.8 | 2.6 / 1.0 |
*Valur shown at home, ÍA shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Valur — last 5
LWLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
ÍA — last 5
WDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 68% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Valur (home) | ÍA (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 68% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.72 vs 1.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Valur or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — ÍA or draw (X2) | 35% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Valur clean sheet | 25% |
| ÍA clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Valur is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Valur are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Valur vs ÍA — FAQ
Who will win Valur vs ÍA?
Our statistical model makes Valur the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Valur 51%, draw 21%, ÍA 28%.
Will both teams score in Valur vs ÍA?
The model gives a 70% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Valur vs ÍA?
Expected goals are 2.72 for Valur and 1.39 for ÍA — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Valur vs ÍA?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Valur or draw is 82%.