Varberg vs Oddevold Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Varberg vs Oddevold
Model pick: Varberg (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.57 – 1.14
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Varberg | Oddevold |
|---|
| League position | #3 (34 pts) | #8 (29 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 40% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
*Varberg shown at home, Oddevold shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Varberg — last 5
LWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Oddevold — last 5
DWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Varberg (home) | Oddevold (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-3 in 10 (1.7 / 1.1 goals per game) | 4-4-2 in 10 (1.8 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 47% |
| Top scorer | Wilhelm Arlig (1) | Leonardo Shahin (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.57 vs 1.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Varberg or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Oddevold or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Varberg clean sheet | 32% |
| Oddevold clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Varberg is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Varberg are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Varberg vs Oddevold — FAQ
Who will win Varberg vs Oddevold?
Our statistical model makes Varberg the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Varberg 44%, draw 27%, Oddevold 29%.
Will both teams score in Varberg vs Oddevold?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Varberg vs Oddevold?
Expected goals are 1.57 for Varberg and 1.14 for Oddevold — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Varberg vs Oddevold?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Varberg or draw is 72%.