Vasalund vs Enkoping SK Prediction & Preview
Division 1 (Sweden) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 1 (SWEDEN)
Vasalund vs Enkoping SK
Model pick: Vasalund (71%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.47 – 0.71
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vasalund | Enkoping SK |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*Vasalund shown at home, Enkoping SK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vasalund — last 5
WDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 16% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Enkoping SK — last 5
WLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vasalund (home) | Enkoping SK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 16% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 33% |
Division 1 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 1 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.47 vs 0.71):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Vasalund or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Enkoping SK or draw (X2) | 24% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Vasalund clean sheet | 49% |
| Enkoping SK clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vasalund is the model's most likely outcome at
71%. Vasalund are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vasalund vs Enkoping SK — FAQ
Who will win Vasalund vs Enkoping SK?
Our statistical model makes Vasalund the most likely result at 71%. Full probabilities: Vasalund 71%, draw 18%, Enkoping SK 11%.
Will both teams score in Vasalund vs Enkoping SK?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Vasalund vs Enkoping SK?
Expected goals are 2.47 for Vasalund and 0.71 for Enkoping SK — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vasalund vs Enkoping SK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (13%). Double chance for Vasalund or draw is 91%.