Vasas II vs Ujpest II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 09:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Vasas II vs Ujpest II
Model pick: Ujpest II (96%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.69 – 8.48
Total goals: 10.2
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vasas II | Ujpest II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.5 | 3.0 / 0.67 |
*Vasas II shown at home, Ujpest II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vasas II — last 5
DD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Ujpest II — last 5
WWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vasas II (home) | Ujpest II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.69 vs 8.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-8 (8%) |
| Double chance — Vasas II or draw (1X) | 3% |
| Double chance — Ujpest II or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Vasas II clean sheet | 0% |
| Ujpest II clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ujpest II is the model's most likely outcome at
96%. Despite playing away, Ujpest II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 10.2, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vasas II vs Ujpest II — FAQ
Who will win Vasas II vs Ujpest II?
Our statistical model makes Ujpest II the most likely result at 96%. Full probabilities: Vasas II 2%, draw 3%, Ujpest II 96%.
Will both teams score in Vasas II vs Ujpest II?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Vasas II vs Ujpest II?
Expected goals are 1.69 for Vasas II and 8.48 for Ujpest II — about 10.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vasas II vs Ujpest II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-8 (8%). Double chance for Vasas II or draw is 3%.