Vasas vs Győri ETO Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 13:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Vasas vs Győri ETO
Model pick: Győri ETO (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.7 – 1.49
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vasas | Győri ETO |
|---|
| League position | #8 (0 pts) | #5 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 0.8 | 2.6 / 1.0 |
*Vasas shown at home, Győri ETO shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vasas — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Győri ETO — last 5
WWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vasas (home) | Győri ETO (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 57% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.7 vs 1.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — Vasas or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — Győri ETO or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Vasas clean sheet | 23% |
| Győri ETO clean sheet | 50% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Győri ETO is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Győri ETO edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vasas vs Győri ETO — FAQ
Who will win Vasas vs Győri ETO?
Our statistical model makes Győri ETO the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Vasas 20%, draw 28%, Győri ETO 53%.
Will both teams score in Vasas vs Győri ETO?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Vasas vs Győri ETO?
Expected goals are 0.7 for Vasas and 1.49 for Győri ETO — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vasas vs Győri ETO?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for Vasas or draw is 44%.