Vasas vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Vasas vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus
Model pick: Vasas (54%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 0.83
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vasas | Nyíregyháza Spartacus |
|---|
| League position | #5 (8 pts) | #7 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.3 / 1.0 | 0.3 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
*Vasas shown at home, Nyíregyháza Spartacus shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vasas — last 5
DDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Nyíregyháza Spartacus — last 5
LLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vasas (home) | Nyíregyháza Spartacus (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-1 in 3 (2.3 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.3 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 59% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 0.83):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Vasas or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Nyíregyháza Spartacus or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Vasas clean sheet | 44% |
| Nyíregyháza Spartacus clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vasas is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Vasas are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vasas vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus — FAQ
Who will win Vasas vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
Our statistical model makes Vasas the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Vasas 54%, draw 26%, Nyíregyháza Spartacus 20%.
Will both teams score in Vasas vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Vasas vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
Expected goals are 1.68 for Vasas and 0.83 for Nyíregyháza Spartacus — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vasas vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Vasas or draw is 82%.