Vasas vs Puskás Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Vasas vs Puskás
Model pick: Vasas (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.04
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vasas | Puskás |
|---|
| League position | #2 (8 pts) | #1 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.5 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Vasas shown at home, Puskás shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vasas — last 5
WDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Puskás — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vasas (home) | Puskás (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (3.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 52% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.37 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Vasas or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Puskás or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Vasas clean sheet | 35% |
| Puskás clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vasas is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Vasas are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vasas vs Puskás — FAQ
Who will win Vasas vs Puskás?
Our statistical model makes Vasas the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Vasas 44%, draw 27%, Puskás 29%.
Will both teams score in Vasas vs Puskás?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Vasas vs Puskás?
Expected goals are 1.37 for Vasas and 1.04 for Puskás — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vasas vs Puskás?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Vasas or draw is 72%.