Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Model pick: Vasas (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.01
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vasas | Zalaegerszegi TE |
|---|
| League position | #9 (2 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
*Vasas shown at home, Zalaegerszegi TE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vasas — last 5
WWWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Zalaegerszegi TE — last 5
WDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vasas (home) | Zalaegerszegi TE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 61% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.11 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Vasas or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Zalaegerszegi TE or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Vasas clean sheet | 36% |
| Zalaegerszegi TE clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vasas is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Vasas are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE — FAQ
Who will win Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
Our statistical model makes Vasas the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Vasas 37%, draw 30%, Zalaegerszegi TE 33%.
Will both teams score in Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
Expected goals are 1.11 for Vasas and 1.01 for Zalaegerszegi TE — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Vasas or draw is 67%.