Velke Hamry vs Mlada Boleslav B Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 08:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Velke Hamry vs Mlada Boleslav B
Model pick: Mlada Boleslav B (91%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.33 – 3.8
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Velke Hamry | Mlada Boleslav B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 3.2 | 3.2 / 1.4 |
*Velke Hamry shown at home, Mlada Boleslav B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Velke Hamry — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Mlada Boleslav B — last 5
LDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Velke Hamry (home) | Mlada Boleslav B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.33 vs 3.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (15%) |
| Double chance — Velke Hamry or draw (1X) | 6% |
| Double chance — Mlada Boleslav B or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Velke Hamry clean sheet | 2% |
| Mlada Boleslav B clean sheet | 72% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mlada Boleslav B is the model's most likely outcome at
91%. Despite playing away, Mlada Boleslav B edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Velke Hamry vs Mlada Boleslav B — FAQ
Who will win Velke Hamry vs Mlada Boleslav B?
Our statistical model makes Mlada Boleslav B the most likely result at 91%. Full probabilities: Velke Hamry 2%, draw 7%, Mlada Boleslav B 91%.
Will both teams score in Velke Hamry vs Mlada Boleslav B?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Velke Hamry vs Mlada Boleslav B?
Expected goals are 0.33 for Velke Hamry and 3.8 for Mlada Boleslav B — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Velke Hamry vs Mlada Boleslav B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (15%). Double chance for Velke Hamry or draw is 6%.