Velke Mezirici vs Tasovice Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Velke Mezirici vs Tasovice
Model pick: Tasovice (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.49 – 16.15
Total goals: 16.6
Over 2.5: 20%
Both teams score: 17%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Velke Mezirici | Tasovice |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.0 |
*Velke Mezirici shown at home, Tasovice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Velke Mezirici — last 5
LD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Tasovice — last 5
WWLD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Velke Mezirici (home) | Tasovice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.02
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.49 vs 16.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-8 (34%) |
| Double chance — Velke Mezirici or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Tasovice or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Velke Mezirici clean sheet | 0% |
| Tasovice clean sheet | 61% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tasovice is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Despite playing away, Tasovice edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (80% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Velke Mezirici vs Tasovice — FAQ
Who will win Velke Mezirici vs Tasovice?
Our statistical model makes Tasovice the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Velke Mezirici 0%, draw 0%, Tasovice 100%.
Will both teams score in Velke Mezirici vs Tasovice?
The model gives a 17% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Velke Mezirici vs Tasovice?
Expected goals are 0.49 for Velke Mezirici and 16.15 for Tasovice — about 16.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Velke Mezirici vs Tasovice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-8 (34%). Double chance for Velke Mezirici or draw is 0%.