Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec n. D. Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec n. D.
Model pick: Velke Mezirici (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 0.43
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 31%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Velke Mezirici | Zdirec n. D. |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Velke Mezirici shown at home, Zdirec n. D. shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Velke Mezirici — last 5
LDLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Zdirec n. D. — last 5
WLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Velke Mezirici (home) | Zdirec n. D. (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 0.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (24%) |
| Double chance — Velke Mezirici or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Zdirec n. D. or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Velke Mezirici clean sheet | 65% |
| Zdirec n. D. clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Velke Mezirici is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Velke Mezirici are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (69% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec n. D. — FAQ
Who will win Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec n. D.?
Our statistical model makes Velke Mezirici the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Velke Mezirici 49%, draw 34%, Zdirec n. D. 17%.
Will both teams score in Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec n. D.?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec n. D.?
Expected goals are 1.06 for Velke Mezirici and 0.43 for Zdirec n. D. — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec n. D.?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (24%). Double chance for Velke Mezirici or draw is 85%.