Verden vs Hemmingen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Verden vs Hemmingen
Model pick: Draw (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.39 – 0.2
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 11%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Verden | Hemmingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.33 / 4.0 | 0.0 / 3.0 |
*Verden shown at home, Hemmingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Verden — last 5
DLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Hemmingen — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Verden (home) | Hemmingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.39 vs 0.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (55%) |
| Double chance — Verden or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Hemmingen or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 40% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Verden clean sheet | 82% |
| Hemmingen clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (89% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Verden vs Hemmingen — FAQ
Who will win Verden vs Hemmingen?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Verden 29%, draw 56%, Hemmingen 15%.
Will both teams score in Verden vs Hemmingen?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Verden vs Hemmingen?
Expected goals are 0.39 for Verden and 0.2 for Hemmingen — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Verden vs Hemmingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (55%). Double chance for Verden or draw is 87%.