Verden vs Lohne Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Verden vs Lohne
Model pick: Lohne (97%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.45 – 5.87
Total goals: 6.3
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Verden | Lohne |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.6 | 2.25 / 1.5 |
*Verden shown at home, Lohne shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Verden — last 5
LLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lohne — last 5
DLWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Verden (home) | Lohne (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.45 vs 5.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-5 (12%) |
| Double chance — Verden or draw (1X) | 2% |
| Double chance — Lohne or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Verden clean sheet | 0% |
| Lohne clean sheet | 64% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lohne is the model's most likely outcome at
97%. Despite playing away, Lohne edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 6.3, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Verden vs Lohne — FAQ
Who will win Verden vs Lohne?
Our statistical model makes Lohne the most likely result at 97%. Full probabilities: Verden 1%, draw 2%, Lohne 97%.
Will both teams score in Verden vs Lohne?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Verden vs Lohne?
Expected goals are 0.45 for Verden and 5.87 for Lohne — about 6.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Verden vs Lohne?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-5 (12%). Double chance for Verden or draw is 2%.