Viborg vs AGF Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Viborg vs AGF
Model pick: Viborg (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.48
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Viborg | AGF |
|---|
| League position | #5 (4 pts) | #7 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.6 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
*Viborg shown at home, AGF shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Viborg — last 5
LWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
AGF — last 5
LDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Viborg (home) | AGF (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 48% |
| Top scorer | Charly Nouck (6) | Tobias Bech (12) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 1.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Viborg or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — AGF or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Viborg clean sheet | 23% |
| AGF clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Viborg is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Viborg are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Viborg vs AGF — FAQ
Who will win Viborg vs AGF?
Our statistical model makes Viborg the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Viborg 38%, draw 26%, AGF 35%.
Will both teams score in Viborg vs AGF?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Viborg vs AGF?
Expected goals are 1.27 for Viborg and 1.48 for AGF — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Viborg vs AGF?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Viborg or draw is 58%.