Viborg vs Lyngby Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Viborg vs Lyngby
Model pick: Viborg (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.7 – 0.96
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Viborg | Lyngby |
|---|
| League position | #2 (13 pts) | #11 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.3 / 0.3 | 1.0 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Viborg shown at home, Lyngby shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Viborg — last 5
LDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Lyngby — last 5
DLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Viborg (home) | Lyngby (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-0-0 in 3 (2.3 / 0.3 goals per game) | 0-0-3 in 3 (1.0 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 54% |
| Top scorer | Charly Nouck (6) | – |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.7 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Viborg or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Lyngby or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Viborg clean sheet | 38% |
| Lyngby clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Viborg is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Viborg are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Viborg vs Lyngby — FAQ
Who will win Viborg vs Lyngby?
Our statistical model makes Viborg the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Viborg 52%, draw 25%, Lyngby 23%.
Will both teams score in Viborg vs Lyngby?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Viborg vs Lyngby?
Expected goals are 1.7 for Viborg and 0.96 for Lyngby — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Viborg vs Lyngby?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Viborg or draw is 79%.