Viggbyholms vs Falu Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Viggbyholms vs Falu
Model pick: Falu (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.28
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Viggbyholms | Falu |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Viggbyholms shown at home, Falu shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Viggbyholms — last 5
LLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Falu — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Viggbyholms (home) | Falu (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.33
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.12 vs 1.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Viggbyholms or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Falu or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Viggbyholms clean sheet | 28% |
| Falu clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Falu is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Falu edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Viggbyholms vs Falu — FAQ
Who will win Viggbyholms vs Falu?
Our statistical model makes Falu the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Viggbyholms 33%, draw 28%, Falu 39%.
Will both teams score in Viggbyholms vs Falu?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Viggbyholms vs Falu?
Expected goals are 1.12 for Viggbyholms and 1.28 for Falu — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Viggbyholms vs Falu?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Viggbyholms or draw is 60%.