Villacañas vs Huracán Balazote Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Villacañas vs Huracán Balazote
Model pick: Villacañas (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 0.66
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Villacañas | Huracán Balazote |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*Villacañas shown at home, Huracán Balazote shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Villacañas — last 5
LDDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 45% of the time; 29% of home games go over 2.5.
Huracán Balazote — last 5
DWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Villacañas (home) | Huracán Balazote (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 45% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 40% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 0.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Villacañas or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Huracán Balazote or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Villacañas clean sheet | 52% |
| Huracán Balazote clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Villacañas is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Villacañas are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Villacañas vs Huracán Balazote — FAQ
Who will win Villacañas vs Huracán Balazote?
Our statistical model makes Villacañas the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Villacañas 46%, draw 32%, Huracán Balazote 22%.
Will both teams score in Villacañas vs Huracán Balazote?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Villacañas vs Huracán Balazote?
Expected goals are 1.17 for Villacañas and 0.66 for Huracán Balazote — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Villacañas vs Huracán Balazote?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Villacañas or draw is 79%.