Villarrubia vs San Clemente Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Villarrubia vs San Clemente
Model pick: Villarrubia (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.67 – 0.71
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Villarrubia | San Clemente |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
*Villarrubia shown at home, San Clemente shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Villarrubia — last 5
WDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
San Clemente — last 5
DWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Villarrubia (home) | San Clemente (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 44% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.67 vs 0.71):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Villarrubia or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — San Clemente or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Villarrubia clean sheet | 49% |
| San Clemente clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Villarrubia is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Villarrubia are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Villarrubia vs San Clemente — FAQ
Who will win Villarrubia vs San Clemente?
Our statistical model makes Villarrubia the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Villarrubia 56%, draw 26%, San Clemente 18%.
Will both teams score in Villarrubia vs San Clemente?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Villarrubia vs San Clemente?
Expected goals are 1.67 for Villarrubia and 0.71 for San Clemente — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Villarrubia vs San Clemente?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Villarrubia or draw is 84%.