Villingen vs FC Holzhausen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Villingen vs FC Holzhausen
Model pick: Villingen (68%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.43 – 1.54
Total goals: 5.0
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Villingen | FC Holzhausen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.0 | 2.25 / 2.25 |
*Villingen shown at home, FC Holzhausen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Villingen — last 5
LWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
FC Holzhausen — last 5
DWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Villingen (home) | FC Holzhausen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.43 vs 1.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Villingen or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — FC Holzhausen or draw (X2) | 27% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Villingen clean sheet | 21% |
| FC Holzhausen clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Villingen is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Villingen are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.0, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Villingen vs FC Holzhausen — FAQ
Who will win Villingen vs FC Holzhausen?
Our statistical model makes Villingen the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Villingen 68%, draw 16%, FC Holzhausen 16%.
Will both teams score in Villingen vs FC Holzhausen?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Villingen vs FC Holzhausen?
Expected goals are 3.43 for Villingen and 1.54 for FC Holzhausen — about 5.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Villingen vs FC Holzhausen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for Villingen or draw is 86%.