Vilzing vs 1860 München Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Vilzing vs 1860 München
Model pick: 1860 München (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.62 – 1.16
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vilzing | 1860 München |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.6 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Vilzing shown at home, 1860 München shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vilzing — last 5
WWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
1860 München — last 5
DDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vilzing (home) | 1860 München (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 56% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.26
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.62 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (20%) |
| Double chance — Vilzing or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — 1860 München or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Vilzing clean sheet | 31% |
| 1860 München clean sheet | 54% |
🎯 Our Verdict
1860 München is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Despite playing away, 1860 München edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vilzing vs 1860 München — FAQ
Who will win Vilzing vs 1860 München?
Our statistical model makes 1860 München the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Vilzing 21%, draw 32%, 1860 München 47%.
Will both teams score in Vilzing vs 1860 München?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Vilzing vs 1860 München?
Expected goals are 0.62 for Vilzing and 1.16 for 1860 München — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vilzing vs 1860 München?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (20%). Double chance for Vilzing or draw is 51%.