Vindbjart vs Akra Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Vindbjart vs Akra
Model pick: Vindbjart (92%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.27 – 0.49
Total goals: 4.8
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vindbjart | Akra |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 1.67 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
*Vindbjart shown at home, Akra shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vindbjart — last 5
WWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Akra — last 5
LWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vindbjart (home) | Akra (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.73
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 78%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.27 vs 0.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Vindbjart or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Akra or draw (X2) | 5% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Vindbjart clean sheet | 61% |
| Akra clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vindbjart is the model's most likely outcome at
92%. Vindbjart are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.8, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vindbjart vs Akra — FAQ
Who will win Vindbjart vs Akra?
Our statistical model makes Vindbjart the most likely result at 92%. Full probabilities: Vindbjart 92%, draw 6%, Akra 2%.
Will both teams score in Vindbjart vs Akra?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Vindbjart vs Akra?
Expected goals are 4.27 for Vindbjart and 0.49 for Akra — about 4.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vindbjart vs Akra?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (12%). Double chance for Vindbjart or draw is 99%.