Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 Prediction & Preview
Division2 (Portugal) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION2 (PORTUGAL)
Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932
Model pick: Vizela (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 0.87
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vizela | Felgueiras 1932 |
|---|
| League position | #8 (7 pts) | #10 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 0.0 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Vizela shown at home, Felgueiras 1932 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vizela — last 5
LWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Felgueiras 1932 — last 5
LDDDW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vizela (home) | Felgueiras 1932 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (0.5 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (0.5 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 36% |
Division2 (Portugal) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Division2 (Portugal) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 0.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Vizela or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Felgueiras 1932 or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Vizela clean sheet | 42% |
| Felgueiras 1932 clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vizela is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Vizela are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 — FAQ
Who will win Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932?
Our statistical model makes Vizela the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Vizela 42%, draw 30%, Felgueiras 1932 28%.
Will both teams score in Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Vizela and 0.87 for Felgueiras 1932 — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Vizela or draw is 73%.