Vizela vs União de Leiria Prediction & Preview
Division2 (Portugal) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION2 (PORTUGAL)
Vizela vs União de Leiria
Model pick: Vizela (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.2
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vizela | União de Leiria |
|---|
| League position | #6 (0 pts) | #9 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Vizela shown at home, União de Leiria shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vizela — last 5
LWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
União de Leiria — last 5
LDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vizela (home) | União de Leiria (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 52% |
Division2 (Portugal) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Division2 (Portugal) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.42 vs 1.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Vizela or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — União de Leiria or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Vizela clean sheet | 30% |
| União de Leiria clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vizela is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Vizela are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vizela vs União de Leiria — FAQ
Who will win Vizela vs União de Leiria?
Our statistical model makes Vizela the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Vizela 39%, draw 28%, União de Leiria 33%.
Will both teams score in Vizela vs União de Leiria?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Vizela vs União de Leiria?
Expected goals are 1.42 for Vizela and 1.2 for União de Leiria — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vizela vs União de Leiria?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Vizela or draw is 68%.