Voitsberg vs Amstetten Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Voitsberg vs Amstetten
Model pick: Amstetten (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 1.29
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Voitsberg | Amstetten |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #14 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.8 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Voitsberg shown at home, Amstetten shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Voitsberg — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 19% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Amstetten — last 5
LWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Voitsberg (home) | Amstetten (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 19% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 61% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 1.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Voitsberg or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Amstetten or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Voitsberg clean sheet | 28% |
| Amstetten clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Amstetten is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Amstetten edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Voitsberg vs Amstetten — FAQ
Who will win Voitsberg vs Amstetten?
Our statistical model makes Amstetten the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Voitsberg 31%, draw 29%, Amstetten 40%.
Will both teams score in Voitsberg vs Amstetten?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Voitsberg vs Amstetten?
Expected goals are 1.06 for Voitsberg and 1.29 for Amstetten — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Voitsberg vs Amstetten?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Voitsberg or draw is 58%.