Voitsberg vs Liefering Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Voitsberg vs Liefering
Model pick: Liefering (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 1.36
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Voitsberg | Liefering |
|---|
| League position | #11 (5 pts) | #4 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 0.5 | 3.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 0.4 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*Voitsberg shown at home, Liefering shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Voitsberg — last 5
WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Liefering — last 5
WLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Voitsberg (home) | Liefering (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-0 in 2 (0.5 / 0.5 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 58% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 1.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Voitsberg or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Liefering or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Voitsberg clean sheet | 26% |
| Liefering clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Liefering is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Liefering edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Voitsberg vs Liefering — FAQ
Who will win Voitsberg vs Liefering?
Our statistical model makes Liefering the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Voitsberg 30%, draw 28%, Liefering 42%.
Will both teams score in Voitsberg vs Liefering?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Voitsberg vs Liefering?
Expected goals are 1.06 for Voitsberg and 1.36 for Liefering — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Voitsberg vs Liefering?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Voitsberg or draw is 56%.