Voitsberg vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Voitsberg vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Model pick: Voitsberg (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Voitsberg | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz |
|---|
| League position | #3 (4 pts) | #13 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 5.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
*Voitsberg shown at home, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Voitsberg — last 5
WWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 18% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — last 5
DWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 11% of the time; 72% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Voitsberg (home) | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 5.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 18% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 72% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.99
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Voitsberg or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Voitsberg clean sheet | 31% |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Voitsberg is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Voitsberg are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Voitsberg vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — FAQ
Who will win Voitsberg vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
Our statistical model makes Voitsberg the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Voitsberg 45%, draw 26%, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 29%.
Will both teams score in Voitsberg vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Voitsberg vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
Expected goals are 1.61 for Voitsberg and 1.18 for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Voitsberg vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Voitsberg or draw is 72%.