Vojvodina vs Mačva Šabac Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Vojvodina vs Mačva Šabac
Model pick: Vojvodina (79%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.58 – 0.43
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vojvodina | Mačva Šabac |
|---|
| League position | #2 (3 pts) | #14 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 5.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 0.6 / 2.4 |
*Vojvodina shown at home, Mačva Šabac shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vojvodina — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Mačva Šabac — last 5
LDLLL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vojvodina (home) | Mačva Šabac (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 5.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 47% |
| Top scorer | Aleksa Vukanovic (7) | – |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.58 vs 0.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Vojvodina or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Mačva Šabac or draw (X2) | 16% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Vojvodina clean sheet | 65% |
| Mačva Šabac clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vojvodina is the model's most likely outcome at
79%. Vojvodina are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vojvodina vs Mačva Šabac — FAQ
Who will win Vojvodina vs Mačva Šabac?
Our statistical model makes Vojvodina the most likely result at 79%. Full probabilities: Vojvodina 79%, draw 15%, Mačva Šabac 6%.
Will both teams score in Vojvodina vs Mačva Šabac?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Vojvodina vs Mačva Šabac?
Expected goals are 2.58 for Vojvodina and 0.43 for Mačva Šabac — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vojvodina vs Mačva Šabac?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (16%). Double chance for Vojvodina or draw is 96%.