Volendam vs TOP Oss Prediction & Preview
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EERSTE DIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
Volendam vs TOP Oss
Model pick: Volendam (68%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.52 – 0.89
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Volendam | TOP Oss |
|---|
| League position | #16 (32 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.0 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
*Volendam shown at home, TOP Oss shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Volendam — last 5
LLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
TOP Oss — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Volendam (home) | TOP Oss (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 56% |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.14
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.52 vs 0.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Volendam or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — TOP Oss or draw (X2) | 27% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Volendam clean sheet | 41% |
| TOP Oss clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Volendam is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Volendam are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Volendam vs TOP Oss — FAQ
Who will win Volendam vs TOP Oss?
Our statistical model makes Volendam the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Volendam 68%, draw 19%, TOP Oss 14%.
Will both teams score in Volendam vs TOP Oss?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Volendam vs TOP Oss?
Expected goals are 2.52 for Volendam and 0.89 for TOP Oss — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Volendam vs TOP Oss?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Volendam or draw is 89%.