Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction & Preview
Super League (Greece) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (GREECE)
Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Model pick: Olympiakos Piraeus (74%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.55 – 2.16
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Volos NFC | Olympiakos Piraeus |
|---|
| League position | #8 (1 pts) | #18 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Volos NFC shown at home, Olympiakos Piraeus shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Volos NFC — last 5
LWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Olympiakos Piraeus — last 5
LDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 45% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Volos NFC (home) | Olympiakos Piraeus (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 2-0-2 in 4 (1.0 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 45% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 45% |
| Top scorer | Lazaros Lamprou (7) | – |
Super League (Greece) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.4
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Super League (Greece) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.55 vs 2.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (16%) |
| Double chance — Volos NFC or draw (1X) | 25% |
| Double chance — Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Volos NFC clean sheet | 12% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Olympiakos Piraeus is the model's most likely outcome at
74%. Despite playing away, Olympiakos Piraeus edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus — FAQ
Who will win Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our statistical model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the most likely result at 74%. Full probabilities: Volos NFC 9%, draw 17%, Olympiakos Piraeus 74%.
Will both teams score in Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Expected goals are 0.55 for Volos NFC and 2.16 for Olympiakos Piraeus — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (16%). Double chance for Volos NFC or draw is 25%.