Voluntari vs UTA Arad Prediction & Preview
Liga I (Romania) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA I (ROMANIA)
Voluntari vs UTA Arad
Model pick: Voluntari (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.1
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Voluntari | UTA Arad |
|---|
| League position | #10 (1 pts) | #11 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Voluntari shown at home, UTA Arad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Voluntari — last 5
LWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
UTA Arad — last 5
WWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 39% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Voluntari (home) | UTA Arad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 39% |
| Top scorer | – | Marius Coman (8) |
Liga I (Romania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.39
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Liga I (Romania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Voluntari or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — UTA Arad or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Voluntari clean sheet | 33% |
| UTA Arad clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Voluntari is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Voluntari are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Voluntari vs UTA Arad — FAQ
Who will win Voluntari vs UTA Arad?
Our statistical model makes Voluntari the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Voluntari 38%, draw 29%, UTA Arad 33%.
Will both teams score in Voluntari vs UTA Arad?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Voluntari vs UTA Arad?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Voluntari and 1.1 for UTA Arad — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Voluntari vs UTA Arad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Voluntari or draw is 71%.