Vorsfelde vs BSV Rehden Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Vorsfelde vs BSV Rehden
Model pick: BSV Rehden (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.2 – 7.03
Total goals: 7.2
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 33%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vorsfelde | BSV Rehden |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.75 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 1.2 |
*Vorsfelde shown at home, BSV Rehden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vorsfelde — last 5
WLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
BSV Rehden — last 5
WDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vorsfelde (home) | BSV Rehden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.2 vs 7.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-7 (17%) |
| Double chance — Vorsfelde or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — BSV Rehden or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Vorsfelde clean sheet | 0% |
| BSV Rehden clean sheet | 82% |
🎯 Our Verdict
BSV Rehden is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Despite playing away, BSV Rehden edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 7.2, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vorsfelde vs BSV Rehden — FAQ
Who will win Vorsfelde vs BSV Rehden?
Our statistical model makes BSV Rehden the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Vorsfelde 0%, draw 1%, BSV Rehden 99%.
Will both teams score in Vorsfelde vs BSV Rehden?
The model gives a 33% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Vorsfelde vs BSV Rehden?
Expected goals are 0.2 for Vorsfelde and 7.03 for BSV Rehden — about 7.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vorsfelde vs BSV Rehden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-7 (17%). Double chance for Vorsfelde or draw is 0%.