Vratimov vs Valasske Mezirici Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Vratimov vs Valasske Mezirici
Model pick: Draw (54%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.15 – 0.47
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 12%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vratimov | Valasske Mezirici |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.8 |
*Vratimov shown at home, Valasske Mezirici shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vratimov — last 5
LLDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Valasske Mezirici — last 5
LWLLD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vratimov (home) | Valasske Mezirici (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.02
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.15 vs 0.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (54%) |
| Double chance — Vratimov or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Valasske Mezirici or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 42% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Vratimov clean sheet | 63% |
| Valasske Mezirici clean sheet | 86% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (88% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vratimov vs Valasske Mezirici — FAQ
Who will win Vratimov vs Valasske Mezirici?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Vratimov 11%, draw 54%, Valasske Mezirici 34%.
Will both teams score in Vratimov vs Valasske Mezirici?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Vratimov vs Valasske Mezirici?
Expected goals are 0.15 for Vratimov and 0.47 for Valasske Mezirici — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vratimov vs Valasske Mezirici?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (54%). Double chance for Vratimov or draw is 67%.