Würzburger Kickers vs Stuttgart II Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Würzburger Kickers vs Stuttgart II
Model pick: Würzburger Kickers (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.94 – 1.4
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Würzburger Kickers | Stuttgart II |
|---|
| League position | #8 (4 pts) | #16 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.0 / 0.0 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Würzburger Kickers shown at home, Stuttgart II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Würzburger Kickers — last 5
WDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 18% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Stuttgart II — last 5
WLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Würzburger Kickers (home) | Stuttgart II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 18% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 57% |
| Top scorer | – | Deniz Zeitler (11) |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.94 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Würzburger Kickers or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Stuttgart II or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Würzburger Kickers clean sheet | 25% |
| Stuttgart II clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Würzburger Kickers is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Würzburger Kickers are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Würzburger Kickers vs Stuttgart II — FAQ
Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs Stuttgart II?
Our statistical model makes Würzburger Kickers the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Würzburger Kickers 48%, draw 24%, Stuttgart II 29%.
Will both teams score in Würzburger Kickers vs Stuttgart II?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Würzburger Kickers vs Stuttgart II?
Expected goals are 1.94 for Würzburger Kickers and 1.4 for Stuttgart II — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Würzburger Kickers vs Stuttgart II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Würzburger Kickers or draw is 72%.