Würzburger Kickers vs Wehen Wiesbaden Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Würzburger Kickers vs Wehen Wiesbaden
Model pick: Wehen Wiesbaden (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.52
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Würzburger Kickers | Wehen Wiesbaden |
|---|
| League position | #8 (1 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Würzburger Kickers shown at home, Wehen Wiesbaden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Würzburger Kickers — last 5
WLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Wehen Wiesbaden — last 5
WLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Würzburger Kickers (home) | Wehen Wiesbaden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 58% |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.46 vs 1.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Würzburger Kickers or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Wehen Wiesbaden or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Würzburger Kickers clean sheet | 22% |
| Wehen Wiesbaden clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wehen Wiesbaden is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Wehen Wiesbaden edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Würzburger Kickers vs Wehen Wiesbaden — FAQ
Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
Our statistical model makes Wehen Wiesbaden the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Würzburger Kickers 36%, draw 26%, Wehen Wiesbaden 38%.
Will both teams score in Würzburger Kickers vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Würzburger Kickers vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
Expected goals are 1.46 for Würzburger Kickers and 1.52 for Wehen Wiesbaden — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Würzburger Kickers vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Würzburger Kickers or draw is 61%.