Wacker Innsbruck vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Wacker Innsbruck vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Model pick: Wacker Innsbruck (57%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.24 – 1.19
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wacker Innsbruck | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #4 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.8 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
*Wacker Innsbruck shown at home, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wacker Innsbruck — last 5
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At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — last 5
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On the road: clean sheet 11% of the time; 72% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wacker Innsbruck (home) | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 72% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.24 vs 1.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Wacker Innsbruck or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 45% / 55% |
| Wacker Innsbruck clean sheet | 30% |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wacker Innsbruck is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Wacker Innsbruck are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wacker Innsbruck vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — FAQ
Who will win Wacker Innsbruck vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
Our statistical model makes Wacker Innsbruck the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Wacker Innsbruck 57%, draw 22%, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 21%.
Will both teams score in Wacker Innsbruck vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wacker Innsbruck vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
Expected goals are 2.24 for Wacker Innsbruck and 1.19 for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wacker Innsbruck vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Wacker Innsbruck or draw is 81%.