Wacker Innsbruck vs St. Pölten Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Wacker Innsbruck vs St. Pölten
Model pick: Wacker Innsbruck (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.31
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wacker Innsbruck | St. Pölten |
|---|
| League position | #3 (6 pts) | #15 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 5.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
*Wacker Innsbruck shown at home, St. Pölten shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wacker Innsbruck — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
St. Pölten — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wacker Innsbruck (home) | St. Pölten (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (5.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 56% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 1.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Wacker Innsbruck or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — St. Pölten or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Wacker Innsbruck clean sheet | 27% |
| St. Pölten clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wacker Innsbruck is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Wacker Innsbruck are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wacker Innsbruck vs St. Pölten — FAQ
Who will win Wacker Innsbruck vs St. Pölten?
Our statistical model makes Wacker Innsbruck the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Wacker Innsbruck 40%, draw 26%, St. Pölten 34%.
Will both teams score in Wacker Innsbruck vs St. Pölten?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wacker Innsbruck vs St. Pölten?
Expected goals are 1.47 for Wacker Innsbruck and 1.31 for St. Pölten — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wacker Innsbruck vs St. Pölten?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Wacker Innsbruck or draw is 66%.