Wadi Degla vs Al Qanah Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Egypt) · Sep 01, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (EGYPT)
Wadi Degla vs Al Qanah
Model pick: Al Qanah (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.87 – 1.82
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wadi Degla | Al Qanah |
|---|
| League position | #8 (29 pts) | #1 (75 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 30% | 65% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Wadi Degla shown at home, Al Qanah shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wadi Degla — last 5
WDDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Al Qanah — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wadi Degla (home) | Al Qanah (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-4-3 in 10 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 11-4-2 in 17 (1.4 / 0.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 100% |
| Top scorer | Franck Boli (5) | – |
Premier League (Egypt) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Premier League (Egypt) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.87 vs 1.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Wadi Degla or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Al Qanah or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Wadi Degla clean sheet | 16% |
| Al Qanah clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Al Qanah is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Al Qanah edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wadi Degla vs Al Qanah — FAQ
Who will win Wadi Degla vs Al Qanah?
Our statistical model makes Al Qanah the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Wadi Degla 20%, draw 24%, Al Qanah 56%.
Will both teams score in Wadi Degla vs Al Qanah?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wadi Degla vs Al Qanah?
Expected goals are 0.87 for Wadi Degla and 1.82 for Al Qanah — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wadi Degla vs Al Qanah?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Double chance for Wadi Degla or draw is 40%.