Wadi Degla vs Masr Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Egypt) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (EGYPT)
Wadi Degla vs Masr
Model pick: Wadi Degla (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.0
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wadi Degla | Masr |
|---|
| League position | #8 (29 pts) | #9 (29 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 30% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Wadi Degla shown at home, Masr shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wadi Degla — last 5
DWDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Masr — last 5
WDDDW
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wadi Degla (home) | Masr (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-4-3 in 10 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 3-5-2 in 10 (1.1 / 0.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 46% |
| Top scorer | Franck Boli (5) | Ahmed Atef (6) |
Premier League (Egypt) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.27
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Premier League (Egypt) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.11 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Wadi Degla or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Masr or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Wadi Degla clean sheet | 37% |
| Masr clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wadi Degla is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Wadi Degla are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Wadi Degla vs Masr — FAQ
Who will win Wadi Degla vs Masr?
Our statistical model makes Wadi Degla the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Wadi Degla 41%, draw 31%, Masr 28%.
Will both teams score in Wadi Degla vs Masr?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wadi Degla vs Masr?
Expected goals are 1.11 for Wadi Degla and 1.0 for Masr — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wadi Degla vs Masr?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Wadi Degla or draw is 68%.