Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Dietach Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Dietach
Model pick: Dietach (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
8%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
Expected goals: 0.26 – 1.64
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wallern/St Marienkirchen | Dietach |
|---|
| League position | #8 (40 pts) | #11 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.75 / 1.25 | 2.33 / 1.67 |
*Wallern/St Marienkirchen shown at home, Dietach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wallern/St Marienkirchen — last 5
WWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Dietach — last 5
DWD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wallern/St Marienkirchen (home) | Dietach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-7 in 15 (1.8 / 1.7 goals per game) | 4-2-9 in 15 (1.3 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.26 vs 1.64):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (25%) |
| Double chance — Wallern/St Marienkirchen or draw (1X) | 27% |
| Double chance — Dietach or draw (X2) | 95% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Wallern/St Marienkirchen clean sheet | 19% |
| Dietach clean sheet | 77% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dietach is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Despite playing away, Dietach edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Dietach — FAQ
Who will win Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Dietach?
Our statistical model makes Dietach the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Wallern/St Marienkirchen 8%, draw 25%, Dietach 68%.
Will both teams score in Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Dietach?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Dietach?
Expected goals are 0.26 for Wallern/St Marienkirchen and 1.64 for Dietach — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Dietach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (25%). Double chance for Wallern/St Marienkirchen or draw is 27%.