Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs TSV St. Johann Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs TSV St. Johann
Model pick: Draw (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
33%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
Expected goals: 0.45 – 0.16
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 11%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wallern/St Marienkirchen | TSV St. Johann |
|---|
| League position | #8 (40 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.7 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 1.5 |
*Wallern/St Marienkirchen shown at home, TSV St. Johann shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wallern/St Marienkirchen — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
TSV St. Johann — last 5
LWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wallern/St Marienkirchen (home) | TSV St. Johann (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-7 in 15 (1.8 / 1.7 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.45 vs 0.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (54%) |
| Double chance — Wallern/St Marienkirchen or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — TSV St. Johann or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 42% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Wallern/St Marienkirchen clean sheet | 85% |
| TSV St. Johann clean sheet | 64% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (89% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs TSV St. Johann — FAQ
Who will win Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs TSV St. Johann?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Wallern/St Marienkirchen 33%, draw 55%, TSV St. Johann 12%.
Will both teams score in Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs TSV St. Johann?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs TSV St. Johann?
Expected goals are 0.45 for Wallern/St Marienkirchen and 0.16 for TSV St. Johann — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs TSV St. Johann?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (54%). Double chance for Wallern/St Marienkirchen or draw is 90%.