Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red
Model pick: Dag & Red (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.36 – 2.05
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Walton & Hersham | Dag & Red |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
*Walton & Hersham shown at home, Dag & Red shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Walton & Hersham — last 5
LLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Dag & Red — last 5
WWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Walton & Hersham (home) | Dag & Red (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.36 vs 2.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Walton & Hersham or draw (1X) | 47% |
| Double chance — Dag & Red or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Walton & Hersham clean sheet | 13% |
| Dag & Red clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dag & Red is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Dag & Red edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red — FAQ
Who will win Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red?
Our statistical model makes Dag & Red the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Walton & Hersham 30%, draw 27%, Dag & Red 42%.
Will both teams score in Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red?
Expected goals are 1.36 for Walton & Hersham and 2.05 for Dag & Red — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Walton & Hersham or draw is 47%.