Wari vs Aryan Prediction & Preview
Calcutta Premier Division (India) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CALCUTTA PREMIER DIVISION (INDIA)
Wari vs Aryan
Model pick: Aryan (69%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.56 – 2.15
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wari | Aryan |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Wari shown at home, Aryan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wari — last 5
WLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Aryan — last 5
DLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 75% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wari (home) | Aryan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 25% |
Calcutta Premier Division (India) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 33%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Calcutta Premier Division (India) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.56 vs 2.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (15%) |
| Double chance — Wari or draw (1X) | 26% |
| Double chance — Aryan or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Wari clean sheet | 12% |
| Aryan clean sheet | 57% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Aryan is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Despite playing away, Aryan edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wari vs Aryan — FAQ
Who will win Wari vs Aryan?
Our statistical model makes Aryan the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Wari 11%, draw 20%, Aryan 69%.
Will both teams score in Wari vs Aryan?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wari vs Aryan?
Expected goals are 0.56 for Wari and 2.15 for Aryan — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wari vs Aryan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (15%). Double chance for Wari or draw is 26%.