Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes
Model pick: Warrington Town (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.04 – 1.01
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Warrington Town | Cleethorpes |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
*Warrington Town shown at home, Cleethorpes shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Warrington Town — last 5
LLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Cleethorpes — last 5
DLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Warrington Town (home) | Cleethorpes (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.04 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Warrington Town or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Cleethorpes or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Warrington Town clean sheet | 36% |
| Cleethorpes clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Warrington Town is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Warrington Town are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes — FAQ
Who will win Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes?
Our statistical model makes Warrington Town the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Warrington Town 35%, draw 31%, Cleethorpes 34%.
Will both teams score in Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes?
Expected goals are 1.04 for Warrington Town and 1.01 for Cleethorpes — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (14%). Double chance for Warrington Town or draw is 66%.