Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 25, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton
Model pick: Warrington Town (89%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.13 – 0.63
Total goals: 4.8
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Warrington Town | Curzon Ashton |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Warrington Town shown at home, Curzon Ashton shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Warrington Town — last 5
LWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Curzon Ashton — last 5
LWLLD
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Warrington Town (home) | Curzon Ashton (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 53% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.13 vs 0.63):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Warrington Town or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Curzon Ashton or draw (X2) | 7% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 95% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Warrington Town clean sheet | 53% |
| Curzon Ashton clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Warrington Town is the model's most likely outcome at
89%. Warrington Town are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.8, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton — FAQ
Who will win Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton?
Our statistical model makes Warrington Town the most likely result at 89%. Full probabilities: Warrington Town 89%, draw 8%, Curzon Ashton 4%.
Will both teams score in Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton?
Expected goals are 4.13 for Warrington Town and 0.63 for Curzon Ashton — about 4.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (11%). Double chance for Warrington Town or draw is 98%.