Warrington Town vs Emley Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Warrington Town vs Emley
Model pick: Warrington Town (92%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.28 – 0.43
Total goals: 4.7
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Warrington Town | Emley |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Warrington Town shown at home, Emley shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Warrington Town — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Emley — last 5
DLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Warrington Town (home) | Emley (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.28 vs 0.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Warrington Town or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Emley or draw (X2) | 5% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Warrington Town clean sheet | 65% |
| Emley clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Warrington Town is the model's most likely outcome at
92%. Warrington Town are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.7, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Warrington Town vs Emley — FAQ
Who will win Warrington Town vs Emley?
Our statistical model makes Warrington Town the most likely result at 92%. Full probabilities: Warrington Town 92%, draw 6%, Emley 2%.
Will both teams score in Warrington Town vs Emley?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Warrington Town vs Emley?
Expected goals are 4.28 for Warrington Town and 0.43 for Emley — about 4.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Warrington Town vs Emley?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (13%). Double chance for Warrington Town or draw is 99%.