Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw
Model pick: Grom Nowy Staw (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.64 – 1.62
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wda Swiecie | Grom Nowy Staw |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
*Wda Swiecie shown at home, Grom Nowy Staw shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wda Swiecie — last 5
WDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Grom Nowy Staw — last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wda Swiecie (home) | Grom Nowy Staw (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.64 vs 1.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — Wda Swiecie or draw (1X) | 39% |
| Double chance — Grom Nowy Staw or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Wda Swiecie clean sheet | 20% |
| Grom Nowy Staw clean sheet | 53% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Grom Nowy Staw is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Despite playing away, Grom Nowy Staw edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw — FAQ
Who will win Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw?
Our statistical model makes Grom Nowy Staw the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Wda Swiecie 17%, draw 26%, Grom Nowy Staw 57%.
Will both teams score in Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw?
Expected goals are 0.64 for Wda Swiecie and 1.62 for Grom Nowy Staw — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for Wda Swiecie or draw is 39%.